Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.242483 0.284854 0.335208 0.400256 0.483239 0.587221 7.300993e-01
2024-12-22 0.173491 0.222179 0.287464 0.384363 0.530056 0.751109 1.134655e+00
2024-12-29 0.141575 0.193096 0.268742 0.394182 0.611270 1.004921 1.875940e+00
2025-01-05 0.116826 0.166409 0.244017 0.383672 0.653410 1.221611 2.800743e+00
2025-01-12 0.102308 0.151249 0.232244 0.389180 0.725578 1.550676 4.520891e+00
2025-01-19 0.089967 0.136855 0.217901 0.384553 0.774424 1.870230 6.989597e+00
2025-01-26 0.082098 0.128356 0.211764 0.393784 0.860183 2.384985 1.229803e+01
2025-02-02 0.076364 0.122495 0.209079 0.409307 0.972044 3.141076 2.473625e+01
2025-02-09 0.071050 0.116500 0.204818 0.419832 1.077948 4.065022 5.414475e+01
2025-02-16 0.066746 0.111713 0.202011 0.433077 1.203722 5.380394 1.521730e+02
2025-02-23 0.062587 0.106611 0.197559 0.440760 1.318258 6.987585 5.811969e+02
2025-03-02 0.058663 0.101457 0.192080 0.444079 1.421487 8.940001 4.659837e+03
2025-03-09 0.054729 0.095923 0.185083 0.441874 1.506828 11.259894 4.762345e+06
2025-03-16 0.050775 0.089935 0.176183 0.431738 1.552190 13.543393 NaN
2025-03-23 0.048575 0.087365 0.175000 0.445856 1.739079 19.713991 NaN
2025-03-30 0.045323 0.082210 0.166736 0.434294 1.776888 23.835252 NaN
2025-04-06 0.043261 0.079419 0.163977 0.441052 1.938263 34.277496 NaN
2025-04-13 0.040869 0.075672 0.158245 0.435670 2.019655 44.918616 NaN
2025-04-20 0.039357 0.073737 0.156962 0.446603 2.237935 72.585333 NaN
2025-04-27 0.038226 0.072547 0.157488 0.464985 2.551985 140.089893 NaN
2025-05-04 0.036956 0.070911 0.156558 0.477469 2.847306 283.232032 NaN
2025-05-11 0.035867 0.069595 0.156339 0.493201 3.218408 741.913851 NaN
2025-05-18 0.034651 0.067865 0.154694 0.502341 3.551516 2336.905430 NaN